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Democrats Lead in Registered Voters by 12 Million

             7/18/2018

Chuck Schumer

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

According to the latest voter registration data, the Republicans are trailing behind the Democrats in voter registration by a whopping 12 million people. With the midterm elections now on the horizon, this new disparity could make the difference in who controls Congress.

Of all people who live in states where party registration is mandatory to declare, 31 states total, a little over 40 percent declared themselves to be Democrats, 29 percent Republicans and 28 percent are “independent,” owing no allegiance to either side. There are also a small minority of people registered for the Libertarian, Green and other less prominent parties, but not enough to be statistically noteworthy, adding up to less than 3 percent combined.

One possible explanation is that the election of Donald Trump and countless other Republicans across the nation was able to energize Democrat voters to come out in droves, finally discontent with their opponents enough to register to vote. Considering how Democrats’ approval of Trump is at veritable rock-bottom, with Gallup reporting as low as 8 percent, it’s definitely possible. Additionally, the congressional generic ballot polls saw a jump in favor of Democrats a few weeks ago, and have given them a steady 7-8% advantage in a congressional election ever since.

It would not be unreasonable to predict a Democrat-held Congress, considering how virtually every president in recent history has had a Congress controlled by their opponent’s party. The result will be yet more political gridlock, which would ensure more of the legislative status quo, which is exactly what Americans are tired of.

On the other hand, the fact there are less registered Republicans hardly means American conservatives are going extinct. Declaring oneself politically independent has become a fast-growing trend among Americans who don’t want to confine themselves to a category. In fact, this year a record number of people have chosen to be politically independent.

On the other hand, the fact there are less registered Republicans hardly means American conservatives are going extinct. Declaring oneself politically independent has become a fast-growing trend among Americans who don’t want to confine themselves to a category. In fact, this year a record number of people have chosen to be politically independent.

According to Gallup, who regularly tracks the affiliations of the nation’s political beliefs, the Democrats have remained essentially the same for decades in their share of voters, both registered Democrats, and left-leaning independents. However, a declining share of the nation identifies as Republican or a right-leaning independent, especially following the 2016 election.

One must consider the socio-cultural pressures on self-identified conservatives that would keep them from openly reporting to a pollster, especially in recent years when politically-motivated violence from groups like Antifa has specifically targeted conservatives. Talk show host and commentator Dave Rubin described the “collapse of the Overton Window” as an explanation, citing that virtually all the cultural giants—celebrities, corporations, and media—enforce left-leaning ideology, especially on social issues.

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