Opinion | The Danger of Democrat Controlled House
Most polling indicates that while Republicans will hold the Senate in todays midterm elections, Democrats are likely to retake the House. Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight currently gives Democrats an 85.5% chance of regaining a House majority of at least 218 seats. Although the 2016 election demonstrated the fallibility of polling, a phenomenon compounded by the existence of the “silent Trump voter,” Republicans still must prepare for the possibility of a Democratic controlled House.
For two years Democrats have talked of impeaching President Trump, and a Democratic majority in the House could easily begin the impeachment process. The administration has prepared for this possibility, and the odds are incredibly low that two-thirds of senators would vote to convict the president, especially given the likely spurious nature of any potential charges. However, the impeachment process itself would be damaging to the progress of the president’s agenda and would contribute to the increasing political division in the country. An attempt to impeach Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh is equally likely, with an equally damaging effect on political discourse.
Of greater concern to administration officials than the threat of impeachment however, are the congressional investigations likely to be initiated by a Democrat controlled House. If Nancy Pelosi is reinstalled as Speaker of the House, she would be free to replace the current Republican leadership of key Congressional committees. Representative Maxine Waters has pledged to devote the resources of the House Financial Services Committee to investigations of the Trump family. Similarly, potential Democratic Chairman of the Ways and Means Committee, Richard Neal of Massachusetts, has promised to concentrate on a search for the President’s tax returns. Representative Jerrold Nadler of New York, who is slated to assume Chairmanship of the House Judiciary Committee, wishes to conduct additional investigations into the allegations against Justice Kavanaugh.
The most damaging result of a Democratic midterm victory is not the threat of a vain effort at impeachment, or even the various frivolous investigations congressional Democrats are likely to launch. The most damaging result of a Democrat Midterm victory is the legitimization of the increasingly hateful and dangerous rhetoric being embraced by mainstream Democrats and the media, as well as the thuggish behavior of far-left radicals which Democrats refuse to condemn. If the voters chose to reward this behavior then we are certain to see more of it, from both sides, leading to the further breakdown of our political discourse.
Over the past two years Democrats have made apparent that they intend not only to resist and obstruct the President’s every move, but to shame and vilify their political opponents. They have failed to reflect on the mistakes of 2016 but have instead doubled down on toxic identity politics. Meanwhile free speech is threatened by Silicon Valley and campus radicals, the Second Amendment is under a more concerted assault than ever before, and now in the wake of the Kavanaugh confirmation saga, the very principal of the presumption of innocence has been called into question. A Democratic victory in the midterms threatens to legitimize all of this and to introduce a new level of disfunction to Washington. While current projections of midterm results fall far short of “Blue Wave” expectations, Democrats ability to continually move the goal posts due to the complicit media will allow them to spin any victory into a referendum on Trump and on the tactics they have embraced.
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